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Canadian cannabis stocks are way down and have actually been on the retreat for the better part of a year. Does that make More Discussion Posted Here at these levels or stocks to still remain away from? Part of the response will depend upon how the general pot market plays out over the next variety of years, and on that front, there's still a lot of growth and expansion to come, says ATB Capital Markets analyst Frederico Gomes who launched a market forecast on Tuesday, saying the Canadian cannabis market is still a compelling financial investment story, Gomes' upgraded projection includes the most recent sales data and ultimately reveals little change from his report of 6 months prior.
8 billion in 2022, $7. 9 billion in 2025, and $12. 2 billion in 2030, compared to the previous ATB price quotes of $4. 9 billion, $8 billion, and $12. 3 billion, respectively. On the other hand, Gomes likewise anticipates the market to experience a compound annual development rate of approximately 13. 4 per cent from 2021 to 2030, mainly driven by a greater percentage of cannabis prevalence in Canada to reach an overall addressable customer population of 10.
5 million in 2021. Along the method, Gomes anticipates the typical yearly costs per person in the market to increase from $1,170/ individual in 2021 to $1,371/ individual in 2030. "Our thesis is that the Canadian marijuana market presents an engaging long-term development chance for select LPs and merchants," Gomes said. "While the market continues to struggle due to fragmentation and cost, operational performance can successfully navigate this environment." In examining the marketplace, Gomes points to three key drivers, including the average invest per person.
Gomes projections Canada's overall population to grow to around 41. 9 million by 2030 with 80 per cent of the population being over legal age, while frequency is currently greater among more youthful cohorts at 36 percent frequency in the 18-24 age group. "We assume that frequency will gradually increase from 20 per cent in 2020 to 30 per cent in 2030e, driven by increased social approval, the aging of younger generations, and new product introduction (e.