Strategy Advice for NBA Prop Betting
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Many Australian and US betting sites offer different NBA betting markets for each game. One of the most interesting and sometimes lucrative is the basketball players' performance betting markets. Apart from the game's superstars, most of the player's statistics fluctuate a significant amount every night. If you know when it will be a player's day, you can use the NBA prop markets to profit from the player's performance. These are some tips to help you make your own decision about prop betting on player performance markets.
A few players will be given an under/over for a specific statistic. http://simply-poker.com/casino-player-reviews-and-how-they-can-help-you/ This could be points, rebounds, assists or a combination of several of these. The line is usually set at the average season score for that star. For example, Luka Doncic's season average in points is 28.8, so the bookmakers might set his points line to 28.5. Moreover, some key factors can swing a player into having a bad or good performance on any night. If something happens, the bookmakers have enough experience to adjust their lines. Still, sometimes, they go unseen, and, on a few occasions, you get a small window to jump on before they get updated.
Injury
The primary factor is injury. When a leading player in the team suffers from an injury, the bookmakers think that their replacement in the starting line-up must get most of their production. Although the replacement will indeed increase the stats, at least two other players in the starting line-up will get an additional boost in production that sees them reach the over and vice-versa if an injured player returns to the line-up. An excellent case is when point guard Chris Paul left with an injury and Austin Rivers, his replacement in the starting line-up, receive a remarkable increase but also the likes of J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford improve their points and assist numbers in Chris's absence. These guys often go unnoticed by the bookmakers.
Matchups
Matchups are another important aspect of prop betting. Few teams defend some positions extremely well while giving production to other positions in spades. It is a good idea to avoid the overs when you are playing against the Spurs or Grizzlies. They are able to defend all positions well and rarely allow one player to dominate the game. A team to look out for is the Boston Celtics. They can defend the guard positions very well with Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart, but on the other hand, they are the worst rebounding team. We saw Andre Drummond, the leading rebounder whose rebounding line is usually set around 14.5, claims 22 against the Celtics, which can be an easy win for the overs. The best thing to do when involving in such betting is to study the team stats and defense vs positions. You can find all the information on a variety of websites.
A few players will be given an under/over for a specific statistic. http://simply-poker.com/casino-player-reviews-and-how-they-can-help-you/ This could be points, rebounds, assists or a combination of several of these. The line is usually set at the average season score for that star. For example, Luka Doncic's season average in points is 28.8, so the bookmakers might set his points line to 28.5. Moreover, some key factors can swing a player into having a bad or good performance on any night. If something happens, the bookmakers have enough experience to adjust their lines. Still, sometimes, they go unseen, and, on a few occasions, you get a small window to jump on before they get updated.
Injury
The primary factor is injury. When a leading player in the team suffers from an injury, the bookmakers think that their replacement in the starting line-up must get most of their production. Although the replacement will indeed increase the stats, at least two other players in the starting line-up will get an additional boost in production that sees them reach the over and vice-versa if an injured player returns to the line-up. An excellent case is when point guard Chris Paul left with an injury and Austin Rivers, his replacement in the starting line-up, receive a remarkable increase but also the likes of J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford improve their points and assist numbers in Chris's absence. These guys often go unnoticed by the bookmakers.
Matchups
Matchups are another important aspect of prop betting. Few teams defend some positions extremely well while giving production to other positions in spades. It is a good idea to avoid the overs when you are playing against the Spurs or Grizzlies. They are able to defend all positions well and rarely allow one player to dominate the game. A team to look out for is the Boston Celtics. They can defend the guard positions very well with Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart, but on the other hand, they are the worst rebounding team. We saw Andre Drummond, the leading rebounder whose rebounding line is usually set around 14.5, claims 22 against the Celtics, which can be an easy win for the overs. The best thing to do when involving in such betting is to study the team stats and defense vs positions. You can find all the information on a variety of websites.
