The Art Of Outright Tennis Betting_ Lesson 5 - The Surface
from web site
One of the great advantages of tennis, in terms of betting as much as viewing, is the use of different surfaces at different ATP Tour events.
The 2010 schedule of 65 main events is split, broadly speaking, between hard courts (both indoor and outdoor), clay and grass. The majority of the events (37) are played on faster and harder surfaces, with clay (21) being the next most used. The grass court season ((6)) is now restricted to a few events in June/July.
This often highlights differences in skill, performance, and sometimes mismatches between the players. For example, if a natural clay-courter plays an opponent considered as a 'hard-court player' on a slow dirt surface then we all know who is going to win. However, put the same players on a quicker, bouncier surface and it's the hard court performer who comes out on top.
These situations are easy to exploit in match betting, but they can also be used when we look at tournament betting.
Bookmakers often give undue credit to (a) well ranked players (b) recent tour winners or (c) players generally in good form. The point is, that doesn't always take into consideration the surface which is being used ... so you're in great form on clay but we're playing on grass this week!
Astute tennis traders should be able to spot these situations - on the one hand, discounting players in the draw who aren't suited to the surface but, on the other, locating those who can be expected to significantly up their performance (simply because of the particular type of court in use).
Example: Lleyton Hewitt (Halle 2010) WON 14/1
Hewitt's 537:188 career record shows a 74% win rate on all surfaces. Focusing solely on grass, his 98/23 record shows Hewitt winning 81% of his matches. http://shopemi.com/how-to-manage-your-betting-exchange-transaction/ This surface, being used for the Gerry Weber event in Germany, was statistically Hewitt's best surface. He'd also played in the final of six grass court tournaments prior to this event ... and won all six. He was in moderate form going into the grass court season. A return to the "green stuff" saw him win a 7th title at a highly inflated price.
http://brianasawa.com/where-to-go-to-play-poker-online-for-free/ Remember, therefore, to give due credit to a player's form on the surface being used and not to the success they may have enjoyed on another type of court. While players may be able to transfer their form to one another, there will always be significant differences between top players, and so you can exploit them.
The 2010 schedule of 65 main events is split, broadly speaking, between hard courts (both indoor and outdoor), clay and grass. The majority of the events (37) are played on faster and harder surfaces, with clay (21) being the next most used. The grass court season ((6)) is now restricted to a few events in June/July.
This often highlights differences in skill, performance, and sometimes mismatches between the players. For example, if a natural clay-courter plays an opponent considered as a 'hard-court player' on a slow dirt surface then we all know who is going to win. However, put the same players on a quicker, bouncier surface and it's the hard court performer who comes out on top.
These situations are easy to exploit in match betting, but they can also be used when we look at tournament betting.
Bookmakers often give undue credit to (a) well ranked players (b) recent tour winners or (c) players generally in good form. The point is, that doesn't always take into consideration the surface which is being used ... so you're in great form on clay but we're playing on grass this week!
Astute tennis traders should be able to spot these situations - on the one hand, discounting players in the draw who aren't suited to the surface but, on the other, locating those who can be expected to significantly up their performance (simply because of the particular type of court in use).
Example: Lleyton Hewitt (Halle 2010) WON 14/1
Hewitt's 537:188 career record shows a 74% win rate on all surfaces. Focusing solely on grass, his 98/23 record shows Hewitt winning 81% of his matches. http://shopemi.com/how-to-manage-your-betting-exchange-transaction/ This surface, being used for the Gerry Weber event in Germany, was statistically Hewitt's best surface. He'd also played in the final of six grass court tournaments prior to this event ... and won all six. He was in moderate form going into the grass court season. A return to the "green stuff" saw him win a 7th title at a highly inflated price.
http://brianasawa.com/where-to-go-to-play-poker-online-for-free/ Remember, therefore, to give due credit to a player's form on the surface being used and not to the success they may have enjoyed on another type of court. While players may be able to transfer their form to one another, there will always be significant differences between top players, and so you can exploit them.
